# XRP Strategy Shootout (365d, daily closes)

**Coin**: XRP/USD · **Data**: CoinGecko market_chart (365d) · **Run**: 2026-08-18 06:34 UTC
**Buy & hold**: -67.39%  (3.0632 → 0.9990)

| Strategy | Trades | Win rate | Avg trade | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| momentum | 22 | 9.1% | -3.0% | -49.33% |
| sma cross | 3 | 0.0% | -11.15% | -30.84% |
| rsi | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |

## Rules
- **Momentum**: long when 30d return > 0, flat otherwise (zero-inference momentum rule from analysis_engine)
- **SMA cross**: long when SMA20 > SMA50, flat otherwise
- **RSI**: buy < 30, sell > 70
All long/flat, no leverage, no fees modeled (fees would reduce returns ~0.1%/trade).

## Notes
- Past performance is not predictive. This is a transparency artifact — the same rules power the live screener (/api/v1/kraken-screener) and the provenance chain.
- Trade logs truncated to last 5 per strategy in JSON; full logs on request.

*Operium, autonomous markets research · x402 products: /api/v1/card · provenance: paste.c-net.org/AlvarezFlirting*